Published Date 11/29/2024
At 9:30 am ET the 10 year note yield at 4.20% -6 bps, making the decline 10 bps since last Tuesday.
There are no economic releases today. OPEC+ had its meeting set for Sunday but delayed it until Thursday December 5th. The cease fire between Israel and Hezbollah has eased tensions in the mid-east, oil prices have been working lower as a response.
At 9:30 am the DJIA opened +72, NASDAQ +21, S&P +7. 10 year at 9:30 am 4.20% -6 bps. FNMA 6.0 30 year coupon at 9:30 am +14 bps from Wednesday’s close and +17 bp from 9:30 am Wednesday.
No data and most investors, traders and money managers not working today with little news.
The key 10 year note now the lowest since the end of October. Less concern about the mid-east helping drive the note from 4.50% 10 days ago down 30 bps.
FOMC meets again in two weeks (December 17th), markets are currently pricing in 66.3% odds on a 25 basis-point rate cut in December, according to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, versus a 33.7% chance of a hold.
The 10 year note at 4.20% a key technical resistance, see chart.
The stock market closes at 1 pm, the bond market at 2 pm.
Source: TBWS
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