The November Headline Producer Price Index was higher than expected

___

Published Date 12/12/2024

Today's Mortgage Rate Summary

How Rates Move:

Conventional and Government (FHA and VA) lenders set their rates based on the pricing of Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) which are traded in real time, all day in the bond market. This means rates or loan fees (mortgage pricing) moves throughout the day, being affected by a variety of economic or political events. When MBS pricing goes up, mortgage rates or pricing generally goes down. When they fall, mortgage pricing goes up.

Rates Currently Trending: Neutral

Mortgage rates are moving sideways today. The MBS market worsened by -24 bps yesterday. This may have been enough to increase mortgage rates or fees. The market experienced moderate volatility yesterday.

Today's Rate Forecast: Neutral

Jobs: Initial Weekly Jobless Claims were higher than expected, 242K versus estimates of 220K. Continuing Claims were 1.886M versus estimates of 1.880M.

Inflation: Once again, we get another higher than expected set of inflationary data points. The November headline Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 0.4% on a MOM basis which was double the market expectations of 0.2%. YOY, it was up 3.00% versus estimates of 2.6%. Core (ex food and energy) PPI were inline with estimates on a MOM basis, 0.2% versus estimates of 0.2% but were higher than expected on a YOY basis, 3.4% versus estimates of 3.2% and a big jump from September's pace of 3.1%.

Treasury Auction: We get a very important 30 year Treasury Bond auction today at 1 pm ET.

Central Banks: The Swiss National Bank surprised with a 50BPS rate cut versus expectations of 25BPS. The European Central Bank cut by 25BPS.

Today's Potential Rate Volatility: Neutral

This morning markets are trading within a narrow channel. Volatility has started at moderate levels.

Bottom Line:

If you are looking for the risks and benefits of locking your interest rate in today or floating your loan rate, contact your mortgage professional to discuss it with them.

• < Prev
• Next >

All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.

Darren Orshoff is a Marketing and Real Estate professional, licensed Realtor with the California Department of Real Estate DRE#01803671 with WSR Real Estate DRE#01977642.  Darren is also a Certified Mortgage Planner, A Certified Financial Literacy Coach, A Dave Ramsey Trained Financial Coach, A Certified Mortgage Advisor, and while Darren is licensed by the NMLS, he is not originating loans but refers lending transactions to Golden Empire Mortgage, Inc. ("GEM") [NMLS ID No. 2427] licensed by the Department of Financial Protection and Innovation pursuant to the California Residential Mortgage Lending Act, for which he represents as the Corporate Marketing Coordinator.

Darren Orshoff

Realtor, Marketing Guru, Sushi Lover, Dad, Ham

License: CalDRE#01803671

The Key To Your Home!™ at WSR

6736 Palm Avenue, Riverside CA

Office: 951-468-8326

Cell: 951-323-2119

Email: darren@darrenorshoff.com

Web: http://sellriverside.com